Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 105.412512 116.985273 128.922778 142.129509 156.303795 171.032911 187.468483
2024-10-20 83.697005 100.294056 118.348402 139.329431 162.921483 188.512976 218.252638
2024-10-27 67.936262 87.697297 110.306706 137.794015 170.006829 206.266090 249.860051
2024-11-03 58.747322 81.200025 108.084699 142.082103 183.344927 231.230922 290.404791
2024-11-10 50.822406 75.038296 105.312142 145.008666 194.727584 253.993810 328.980495
2024-11-17 44.731156 70.293363 103.555886 148.623776 206.659344 277.462672 368.866031
2024-11-24 40.065838 66.766206 102.821460 153.139908 219.547725 302.215541 410.790004
2024-12-01 32.933096 58.825750 95.329927 148.012448 219.462502 310.387396 432.043038
2024-12-08 27.880957 53.215595 90.405223 145.746322 222.655420 322.441459 458.120389
2024-12-15 24.579911 49.831619 88.262079 146.999488 230.353205 340.284906 491.782274
2024-12-22 21.986363 47.223649 86.960620 149.211168 239.241953 359.732855 527.773851
2024-12-29 20.504679 46.279527 88.046754 154.830599 252.928346 385.782015 572.846028
2025-01-05 18.574666 44.372958 87.556921 158.189944 263.717221 408.479202 614.415863
2025-01-12 15.977906 40.882719 84.209644 156.971760 267.814851 422.097204 644.125561
2025-01-19 13.821571 37.894529 81.397775 156.340566 272.633901 436.727781 675.425406
2025-01-26 12.862156 37.165852 82.352451 161.662727 286.389182 464.112682 724.618469
2025-02-02 11.741010 35.922574 82.272840 165.243105 297.555073 488.002609 769.356972
2025-02-09 10.821603 34.969786 82.601985 169.434898 309.682236 513.412318 816.526303
2025-02-16 10.100574 34.355436 83.480806 174.531707 323.287353 541.154945 867.346659
2025-02-23 8.246094 30.690681 78.269408 168.956250 319.975911 544.173216 883.320727
2025-03-02 6.969535 28.178513 75.013645 166.499004 321.381287 553.984490 908.934083
2025-03-09 6.203399 26.858394 74.003813 167.904372 328.942114 572.968717 947.867960
2025-03-16 5.605362 25.884977 73.608967 170.356264 338.212857 594.615591 990.890681